Comments on: Texas Poll: Strayhorn 21%, Kinky 12% http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/ Sat, 11 Oct 2008 23:53:23 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=1.5.1.3 by: Jerry Larson http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2400 Thu, 02 Feb 2006 05:38:14 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2400 According to recent newspaper reports, Ms. Strayhorn is raking in the cash quite a bit faster than the Dems. The last report I saw had Gov. Perry reporting $13.5 million, Strayhorn at about $8 million, Kinky at about a quarter of a million, and the various Dem hopefuls all somewhere around the million dollar range, for the most part. If this holds (and there's nothing saying it won't), then there's a chance that at least Strayhorn (and maybe Kinky) could become a real player in this fall's election. This would be welcome, because many of us have grown weary of watching one party walk away with every statwide election for over a decade. As the only person seeking the Green Party nomination for governor, I'm hopeful that these independent candidates get people interested in having a look at others who are running. I'm also hopeful that it lets people see that a vote for someone other than a major party candidate isn't a vote "stolen" from a Democrat or Republican. According to recent newspaper reports, Ms. Strayhorn is raking in the cash quite a bit faster than the Dems. The last report I saw had Gov. Perry reporting $13.5 million, Strayhorn at about $8 million, Kinky at about a quarter of a million, and the various Dem hopefuls all somewhere around the million dollar range, for the most part.

If this holds (and there’s nothing saying it won’t), then there’s a chance that at least Strayhorn (and maybe Kinky) could become a real player in this fall’s election. This would be welcome, because many of us have grown weary of watching one party walk away with every statwide election for over a decade.

As the only person seeking the Green Party nomination for governor, I’m hopeful that these independent candidates get people interested in having a look at others who are running. I’m also hopeful that it lets people see that a vote for someone other than a major party candidate isn’t a vote “stolen” from a Democrat or Republican.

]]> by: Austin Cassidy http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2110 Sat, 14 Jan 2006 05:35:47 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2110 One twist I could see is if the Dem candidate really starts to lag in the polls and some of his voters see Strayhorn as the only serious option for beating Perry. If the polls support a scenario like this, Strayhorn could carefully fan this idea with a last minute direct mailing giving the Democrats a taste of the "wasted vote" arguement. One twist I could see is if the Dem candidate really starts to lag in the polls and some of his voters see Strayhorn as the only serious option for beating Perry.

If the polls support a scenario like this, Strayhorn could carefully fan this idea with a last minute direct mailing giving the Democrats a taste of the “wasted vote” arguement.

]]> by: Randy Edwards http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2109 Sat, 14 Jan 2006 05:26:55 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2109 This poll plays out exactly as I thought it would. Perry loses to the combined opposition by 7 points, but leads by nearly 20 points. Strayhorn has a lot of ground to make up and her current ads won't do it. I also tend to think that the Dem will wind up somewhere in the 30s in this race just based on the straight ticket voting in the major metro areas. My guess on the final for this race: Perry 40%, Dem 30% Strayhorn 25% Kinky 5% This poll plays out exactly as I thought it would. Perry loses to the combined opposition by 7 points, but leads by nearly 20 points. Strayhorn has a lot of ground to make up and her current ads won’t do it. I also tend to think that the Dem will wind up somewhere in the 30s in this race just based on the straight ticket voting in the major metro areas.

My guess on the final for this race: Perry 40%, Dem 30% Strayhorn 25% Kinky 5%

]]> by: IndiPol http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2087 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 23:50:12 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2087 Depends on who conducts the debates. If it is KERA Productions who conducted the last gov debate in 2002 then all four would be invited, but unfortunately the Dem/Reps proably will boycott any debates with the indie candidates. And I don't think the LP will make the 5% polling threshhold. Depends on who conducts the debates. If it is KERA Productions who conducted the last gov debate in 2002 then all four would be invited, but unfortunately the Dem/Reps proably will boycott any debates with the indie candidates. And I don’t think the LP will make the 5% polling threshhold.

]]> by: Joey Dauben http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2086 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 22:58:28 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2086 There will be no debates with Kinky or Strayhorn, I'm sorry to break it to ya. Perry will debate the Democrat and that's it. But they might ease up and allow Strayhorn in just for PR reasons. Don't think just because the media attention gravels toward Kinky that that means he'll be in debates. There will be no debates with Kinky or Strayhorn, I’m sorry to break it to ya.

Perry will debate the Democrat and that’s it. But they might ease up and allow Strayhorn in just for PR reasons.

Don’t think just because the media attention gravels toward Kinky that that means he’ll be in debates.

]]> by: Austin Cassidy http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2085 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 21:15:21 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2085 It was a survey of 500 "Likely Voters" I think you had to expect a drop for Kinky though, because at least part of his support was just people fed up in general with the two parties... and once they had a higher-profile candidate with more of a political resume (and probably more money) in the race... that block of "pissed off Independents" would gravitate somewhat toward Strayhorn. It was a survey of 500 “Likely Voters”

I think you had to expect a drop for Kinky though, because at least part of his support was just people fed up in general with the two parties… and once they had a higher-profile candidate with more of a political resume (and probably more money) in the race… that block of “pissed off Independents” would gravitate somewhat toward Strayhorn.

]]> by: IndiPol http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2084 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 20:28:03 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2084 I'd be interested in the polling criteria,i e likely voters or registered voters or whatever. This isn't good news for Kinky, but I suspect this is a "bounce" from Stryhorns announcement. Wait until the petition drive and then closer to the election to see some movement for Kinky. The debates are going to be a circus! I’d be interested in the polling criteria,i e likely voters or registered voters or whatever. This isn’t good news for Kinky, but I suspect this is a “bounce” from Stryhorns announcement. Wait until the petition drive and then closer to the election to see some movement for Kinky. The debates are going to be a circus!

]]> by: Ragnar Danashold http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2083 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 20:24:09 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2083 Friedman for Governor! Friedman for Governor!

]]> by: Austin Cassidy http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2081 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 18:23:56 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2081 Not exclusively... I'm sure I'll have a story or two on the LP and CP efforts. But in a race with 2 very high profile independents, I think it's only reasonable not to water that down with equal coverage of every single candidate. That's the only reason I haven't mentioned much of them (though I did republish an item on the record slate of LP candidates). In this instance, Rasmussen (the people who did the poll) didn't bother to poll for anyone but the 4 main candidates. Not exclusively… I’m sure I’ll have a story or two on the LP and CP efforts. But in a race with 2 very high profile independents, I think it’s only reasonable not to water that down with equal coverage of every single candidate. That’s the only reason I haven’t mentioned much of them (though I did republish an item on the record slate of LP candidates). In this instance, Rasmussen (the people who did the poll) didn’t bother to poll for anyone but the 4 main candidates.

]]> by: rj http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2080 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 17:21:24 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2080 He only covers serious efforts. So 1% doesn't do the trick. He only covers serious efforts. So 1% doesn’t do the trick.

]]> by: watcherwatcher http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2079 Wed, 11 Jan 2006 14:38:59 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/01/11/texas-poll-strayhorn-21-kinky-12/#comment-2079 I'm surprised this web site calls itself "Third Party Watch" but fails to mention the only third party candidate in this race: James Werner, the probable Libertarian nominee. Even if he only gets a few percent, it could very well be the few percent that makes or breaks Perry. I’m surprised this web site calls itself “Third Party Watch” but fails to mention the only third party candidate in this race: James Werner, the probable Libertarian nominee.

Even if he only gets a few percent, it could very well be the few percent that makes or breaks Perry.

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