Comments on: NYLP Nominates Weld http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/ Mon, 08 Sep 2008 01:06:20 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=1.5.1.3 by: Thomas L. Knapp http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-7069 Thu, 04 May 2006 19:32:36 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-7069 Robert, I said "highly unlikely," not "impossible." If things go according to the common wisdom, Faso will win the GOP nomination and Spitzer will win the general election. Things don't ALWAYS go according to the common wisdom, and I wish the LPNY and Weld the best, but until I see something that indicates a different outcome is likely, I'm not going to get excited about the prospect for victory (I am, however, excited about the prospect of new successes and a higher profile for the LPNY in any case). Regards, Tom Knapp Robert,

I said “highly unlikely,” not “impossible.” If things go according to the common wisdom, Faso will win the GOP nomination and Spitzer will win the general election.

Things don’t ALWAYS go according to the common wisdom, and I wish the LPNY and Weld the best, but until I see something that indicates a different outcome is likely, I’m not going to get excited about the prospect for victory (I am, however, excited about the prospect of new successes and a higher profile for the LPNY in any case).

Regards,
Tom Knapp

]]> by: Kyle B http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6898 Thu, 04 May 2006 02:31:59 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6898 last time I saw Spitzer was way ahead in the polls and in fundraising. In fact most of the analysis I have seen in this race has placed it in the Safe Democrat column. last time I saw Spitzer was way ahead in the polls and in fundraising. In fact most of the analysis I have seen in this race has placed it in the Safe Democrat column.

]]> by: Robert Capozzi http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6887 Wed, 03 May 2006 19:45:15 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6887 Don't count Weld out just yet, Thomas. Spitzer is proving to be a poor candidate. He referred to upstate NY as "Appalachia," which hasn't gone over well. Weld is super smart, articulate, and could crush the stiff Spitzer in debate. NY may be a "blue state," but look at the history. GOP governors, senators, etc. often. Even NYC has had YEARS of GOP mayors. Upstate is often GOP, NYC often D, but the swing counties around NYC make all the difference in close races. Weld's tax plan is brilliant "bottom up" tax cutting. Weld's fiscal conservative, social liberal, moderate libertarianism could be a big winner in Nov. NY GOP leadership is all behind Weld. Watch for the challenger to get the Lt. Guv slot. Don’t count Weld out just yet, Thomas. Spitzer is proving to be a poor candidate. He referred to upstate NY as “Appalachia,” which hasn’t gone over well. Weld is super smart, articulate, and could crush the stiff Spitzer in debate.

NY may be a “blue state,” but look at the history. GOP governors, senators, etc. often. Even NYC has had YEARS of GOP mayors. Upstate is often GOP, NYC often D, but the swing counties around NYC make all the difference in close races.

Weld’s tax plan is brilliant “bottom up” tax cutting. Weld’s fiscal conservative, social liberal, moderate libertarianism could be a big winner in Nov. NY GOP leadership is all behind Weld. Watch for the challenger to get the Lt. Guv slot.

]]> by: Thomas L. Knapp http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6878 Wed, 03 May 2006 14:22:23 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6878 It's highly unlikely that Weld will win the general election. On strictly pragmatic terms, it's best for the LP if Weld loses the GOP nomination race as well. He'll probably rake in well over 50,000 votes from Republicans who are not "social conservatives," who are tired of "social conservatives" running their party, and who know that the Republican candidate isn't going to win no matter how they vote. It’s highly unlikely that Weld will win the general election. On strictly pragmatic terms, it’s best for the LP if Weld loses the GOP nomination race as well. He’ll probably rake in well over 50,000 votes from Republicans who are not “social conservatives,” who are tired of “social conservatives” running their party, and who know that the Republican candidate isn’t going to win no matter how they vote.

]]> by: Fred C http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6876 Wed, 03 May 2006 13:23:44 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6876 IIRC, Cuomo not only lost the Dem nomination but actually dropped out and endorsed the democrat, while the Liberals kept him on their line (though I dont recall if this was because of the law or due to their own neglect). IIRC, Cuomo not only lost the Dem nomination but actually dropped out and endorsed the democrat, while the Liberals kept him on their line (though I dont recall if this was because of the law or due to their own neglect).

]]> by: Joey Dauben http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6599 Tue, 02 May 2006 00:24:01 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6599 You guys are smoking marijuana if you think there's a chance any guy not named Spitzer will win this race in November. But kudos for the NYLP. Much better than that Howard Stern experiment. You guys are smoking marijuana if you think there’s a chance any guy not named Spitzer will win this race in November.

But kudos for the NYLP. Much better than that Howard Stern experiment.

]]> by: Austin Cassidy http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6589 Mon, 01 May 2006 18:17:54 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6589 In the past I seem to remember a candidate (Cuomo?) getting the Liberal nomination, losing the Democratic nomination, and then failing to win 50,000 votes. So it's not in the bag by any means. However, with or without the GOP nomination... Weld has a better chance of hitting the 50,000 vote mark than any Libertarian candidate would have. Either way the Democrat, Spitzer, has this race virtually locked up. In the past I seem to remember a candidate (Cuomo?) getting the Liberal nomination, losing the Democratic nomination, and then failing to win 50,000 votes. So it’s not in the bag by any means.

However, with or without the GOP nomination… Weld has a better chance of hitting the 50,000 vote mark than any Libertarian candidate would have.

Either way the Democrat, Spitzer, has this race virtually locked up.

]]> by: Tim West http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6587 Mon, 01 May 2006 17:50:14 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6587 yeah, he'll do better than 50K. The LPNY just put itzelf into good position to be a actual player for years. yeah, he’ll do better than 50K. The LPNY just put itzelf into good position to be a actual player for years.

]]> by: Chris Moore http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6586 Mon, 01 May 2006 17:49:30 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6586 Isn't he considered the front-runner for the Republican nomination? If so, he very well may win. Just not on the Libertarian line. The problem isn't him getting 50,000 votes. He has to get 50,000 on the Libertarian line, which isn't impossible or even increadibly hard if he wins the Repub. nomination. But we could still win the election and only get 5,000 votes as a Libertarian. Isn’t he considered the front-runner for the Republican nomination? If so, he very well may win. Just not on the Libertarian line.

The problem isn’t him getting 50,000 votes. He has to get 50,000 on the Libertarian line, which isn’t impossible or even increadibly hard if he wins the Repub. nomination. But we could still win the election and only get 5,000 votes as a Libertarian.

]]> by: Michael http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6583 Mon, 01 May 2006 17:12:08 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6583 Get 50,000? He just might place third statewide. Get 50,000? He just might place third statewide.

]]> by: George Whitfield http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6568 Mon, 01 May 2006 08:07:56 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6568 Bill Weld has made a great political investment and so has the NY Libertarian Party. I understand why he was successful in private equity: he is able to see the eventual return from an undervalued entity. And the NY LP has moved up to a higher level of significance by its nomination of Weld. This is a great development. Congratulations to both are in order. Bill Weld has made a great political investment and so has the NY Libertarian Party. I understand why he was successful in private equity: he is able to see the eventual return from an undervalued entity. And the NY LP has moved up to a higher level of significance by its nomination of Weld. This is a great development. Congratulations to both are in order.

]]> by: Tim West http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6557 Sun, 30 Apr 2006 22:36:49 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6557 yes, he said he will run no matter what. yes, he said he will run no matter what.

]]> by: ms http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6555 Sun, 30 Apr 2006 22:12:56 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6555 If Weld does not get the nomination, will he still run? I'm happy with the choice and will vote for him on the LP line. If Weld does not get the nomination, will he still run? I’m happy with the choice and will vote for him on the LP line.

]]> by: Rolf in Wisconsin http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6551 Sun, 30 Apr 2006 20:47:16 +0000 http://thirdpartywatch.com/2006/04/30/nylp-nominates-weld/#comment-6551 this is a very smart move for the New York LP. Weld is a moderate libertarian. I noticed that a columnist in New York says Weld won't get the 50,000 votes for ballot access, which I find difficult to believe. Is there any truth to this assertion? this is a very smart move for the New York LP.

Weld is a moderate libertarian.

I noticed that a columnist in New York says Weld won’t get the 50,000 votes for ballot access, which I find difficult to believe.

Is there any truth to this assertion?

]]>