Comments on: Democrat Ankrum Polls His Own Race

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by: Lloyd Laughlin

Sat, 23 Sep 2006 22:27:37 +0000

I predict 52% WIN for SMITHER, first Libertarian EVER to be elected to Congress.

e-mail me and i’ll tell u why: laughlinou@yahoo.com

www.smither4congress.com

LLL

by: Allen Hacker

Wed, 20 Sep 2006 13:16:48 +0000

Twice is enough, Stuart.

As I’ve just explained over at HoT, I’m done with this.

by: Stuart Richards

Sat, 16 Sep 2006 23:37:28 +0000

Dunno… try reposting it?

by: Allen Hacker

Fri, 15 Sep 2006 01:26:57 +0000

Where’s my response?

Answers to questions about the district, our poll, media….

Why hasn’t it showed up?

by: Hammer of Truth » 8% is the new 2% for Libertarians

Tue, 12 Sep 2006 23:32:04 +0000

[...] Similarly, I heard tell that Badnarik’s numbers were around 7-8%, according to a poll taken by the Democratic challenger in the race, Ted Ankrum. [...]

by: david

Mon, 11 Sep 2006 19:45:21 +0000

I live in this district. The incumbent Rep. will win with low to Mid 50%. the Dem. has no money and no name ID. he will get high 30’s to about 40% of the vote. Badnarik may make it into the low teens but I doubt it. Yes, they are runing for office to make a living not to win the election. I have not gotten any mail from any of these campaigns, not have I seen any ads on TV, Radio, or newspaper. I can’t remember hearing any one discuss this particular race.

by: Eric Dondero

Sun, 10 Sep 2006 14:10:15 +0000

I’ve been predicting 8% all along. Early on, some LPers slammed me for it. Not braggin’ or nothing, but it now it looks like I was right on.

Here’s another prediction; 27% for Libertarian Bob Smither. He will beat the Republican write-in Shelly Sekula-Gibbs. He had a shot of winning at one point, but I fear fundraising has not panned out for him, despite excellent media, including national media.

Still, mid to high 20s is not bad at all.

Could catapult Smither to be the Libertarian Presidential candidate in 2008. The guy is a Ph.D., has an incredible personal history, much of it quite tragic, and having met Bob, he’s just a very nice friendly, soft-spoken, thoughtful guy.

Ironic, all the money from LPers went to Badnarik – north of Houston, yet the big race for the LP in 2006 will be a couple Districts away in south Houston.

For continuous coverage of the Smither campaign: www.mainstreamlibertarian.com

by: Gene Berkman

Fri, 08 Sep 2006 23:31:11 +0000

Actually, given the performance of Libertarian candidates in the past, getting 7.6% in a poll this early is positive. But it is likely, even with his large campaign treasury, that Badnarik will come in a distant third.

Bear in mind, the Republicans and the Democrats start the campaign with a big block of loyal voters, and then spend huge sums to effect about 5% of the voters. A Libertarians starts with a very small following, so it would take much more in campaign funds to become even with either major party.

by: Joey Dauben

Fri, 08 Sep 2006 13:06:01 +0000

I do believe Hacker has a calling nationally if he were to prove that Badnarik’s campaign is no fluke.

If the campaign can’t crack 15% on Nov. 7, I think it will speak volumes. Nice RV though.

If anyone sees any TV ads, let me know. I’d like to see one on the Net.

by: NewFederalist

Fri, 08 Sep 2006 01:33:14 +0000

Tom Bryant- that was the “secret plan” that came across in the lengthy (even rambling) email. Not a bad idea but as you say not much to stake an entire campaign on especially if it doesn’t come through. Plan B doesn’t look so good in contrast. That is why I think this race is not going to produce the “breakthrough” that has been widely touted.

by: Chris Moore

Thu, 07 Sep 2006 19:09:21 +0000

Well Joey, the election hasn’t happened yet, so I’m personally not peeved about anything yet. Ankrum’s poll has a real margin of error of about +-8-9%, so it may imply that Badnarik could walk away with 16-20% today with the potential for more come November.

But if Badnarik receives around 8% in this race, then it will be generally because of one of two reasons: either the campaign wasn’t run as effectively as it could have been, or it was run effectively, but 8% is the ceiling for a relatively well financed Libertarian in a 3 way race. Either one is a good reason to be upset, although the latter would be more upsetting in general.

Personally, I found calling for Ankrum to drop out to be a fairly silly move, and the press releases have been (IMO) poorly written. But Hacker may have more up his sleeve. I don’t know. I’m willing to give him and especially Badnarik the benefit of the doubt until after the election.

by: Joey Dauben

Thu, 07 Sep 2006 18:41:22 +0000

So are you guys a bit peaved that the Badnarik campaign has raised a lot of money and has little (ads, TV, signs, etc.) to show for it, or what is the deal here?

It sounds like the sentiment I was reading about involving the Harry Browne-Perry Willis controversy. I mean, as a former presidential candidate, I would think that the TV ads would be a no-brainer.

by: Tom Bryant

Thu, 07 Sep 2006 18:27:23 +0000

NewFederalist,

Wasn’t the secret plan getting huge donations from issue groups that weren’t really formed yet?

I wouldn’t go around saying I have this secret plan unless I have something a little more concrete that a wish that some deep pockets would organize around me.

by: Jackcjackson

Thu, 07 Sep 2006 18:06:45 +0000

BTW, are there any debates planned? Is Badnarik invited?