Stufflebeam Does Well… Maybe… Or Not?
The Constitution Party’s candidate for governor of Illinois posted an impressively strong showing last week… as a write-in candidate.
While the numbers are still pretty sketchy, Randy Stufflebeam appears to have captured at least 1% of the vote statewide… and potentially more than that.
See here for the campaign’s latest and best attempts at pulling together a final vote tally:
http://www.runrandyrun.com/vote_totals.htm
Third Party Watch interviewed Randy a few months ago while he was still fighting for ballot access. To read that interview, click here.
CORRECTION: The campaign is counting all “undervotes” as a write-in vote for the Stufflebeam campaign, which is a very far from accurate way to determine the number of acutal votes. The true vote total for Stufflebeam is probably far below 1% of the total vote. My mistake for not catching that important bit of info and thanks to those of you who did.
November 16th, 2006 at 2:36 am
Wow! That’s really good for a write-in candidate.
November 16th, 2006 at 2:49 am
Indeed, that is excellent!! Even too good to be true.
In reading the candidate website it appears that many county returns haven’t been counted yet, so the candidate is counting all “undervotes” as write-ins for his candidacy.
Here in Ohio, the undervote count is about 10%.
So I doubt that the final tally will be any where near the 1% of the total vote claimed by this candidate.
It is best to take a wait and see attitude on this one.
Peace
Steve
November 16th, 2006 at 4:25 am
Not bad indeed:)
Imagine if he was on the ballot! He did wayyy better then Peroutka’s write-in vote total for Texas in 2004.
November 16th, 2006 at 11:52 am
Dear Austin, you have been fooled.
November 16th, 2006 at 2:59 pm
what was Austin fooled about?
November 16th, 2006 at 3:19 pm
I believe poster number 2 nailed it!
November 16th, 2006 at 4:09 pm
I did not catch that “undervote” language until just now. So in some sense I guess I was “fooled” – no harm, no foul.
November 16th, 2006 at 5:00 pm
It will be interesting to see how many write-in votes were cast for Rep. Joe Schwarz in Michigan’s 7th congressional district. Schwarz, who was narrowly defeated in the Republican primary, took the unusual step of qualifying as an official write-in candidate in last Tuesday’s election. He said at the time that he wasn’t mounting a write-in effort, but wanted to give his supporters—- those who planned to cast a write-in vote for him—- an opportunity to have their votes counted.
November 16th, 2006 at 9:42 pm
There are 35 counties that have not listed any votes for Randy Stufflebeam as of yet. The least he got in any city or county was 5 votes. That means there has to be a lot of votes for him yet to be counted. We will have to wait on the State Election Board in Illinois to do the counting for a final total.
November 18th, 2006 at 11:55 am
Typical CP ethics.
November 18th, 2006 at 5:47 pm
I was one who over- enthusiastically might have passed on possible erroneous information assuming the accuracy of what was sent to me. To the extent I passed along any erroneous info, I apologize. Nonetheless, Randy did a wonderful job and did a very good job for a write-in candidate. I’m sure if any of us passed along wrong info, it was unintentional, however, UA, if it will make you happy, speaking strictly for myself, mea culpa.
UA, where the heck do you live where you get such an incredibly warped view of the CP and such an astonishingly hostile one, in my opinion, because I think there are many issues where we take the same or similar postions as the LP?
November 20th, 2006 at 2:41 pm
The same district as Joe Schwarz. UA ran for Congress there in 2004, except back then UA was a Green.
November 21st, 2006 at 4:46 am
Dear Austin (and Richard),
First of all, there was NO attempt to fool anyone!
You all make it sound as if I have been less than genuine and honest in my reporting. I included two (2) “Notes” at the TOP of the page in a very readable font, not buried in the text somewhere or at the bottom where you might have missed it, explaining how I derived my numbers. I have been honest and above board on reporting the totals as I can get the information. Any new information that I get is included and corrections made immediately.
Secondly, your statement is not entirely correct, again. Please take note of the second “Note” at the top my webpage page listing the vote totals. It says, “SOME of the totals listed…” It does not say ALL of the totals listed.
In the election jurisdictions where the only vote totals listed were for the three candidates on the ballot and there was a “total votes cast” listing, were there any over/under votes included in the write-in numbers. Most of the election jurisdictions have these number listed separately from the write-in votes, and where they do, ONLY the write-in votes were counted. If you or any of your readers can find any election jurisdiction in the state of Illinois where this is not true, please let me know and I will make an immediate correction, as I have been doing since November the 8th.
It is true that eliminating all the over/under votes from the current write-in percentage (if we knew what they were) will cause the “write-in percentage” to drop. However, it is also true that 36% of the election jurisdictions in Illinois have not publicly listed any of the vote totals other than those for the three on ballot, and when they do, the total number (and percentage) of write-in votes are drastically going to increase.
If anyone feels that I have been less than genuine in my reporting or if you feel there is a more honest way of reporting the numbers than what I have attempted to do, by all means make your suggestions instead of accusations. By all means, if you have some formula that will be able to accurately forecast the end write-in totals, please send it to me and I will include it in my spreadsheet. Otherwise, this is as close as I can get until the Illinois Board of Elections OFFICIALLY release the results in a couple of weeks, which will also include absentee ballots as well.
Because there are only a few election jurisdictions in which over/under votes were actually included and because 40 election jurisdictions have yet to report any numbers besides the candidates on ballot and based on best estimates, I do anticipate a final percentage to be somewhere between 1.5 and 2.0. Anybody disagree with this; provide your numbers and a basis.
Anybody want to run a football pool on the final percentage?
Sincerely,
Randall C. Stufflebeam
2006 Illinois Gubernatorial Candidate
November 21st, 2006 at 5:19 pm
Any status on Loretta Nall’s vote total?
November 21st, 2006 at 5:36 pm
Coming in county by county.
http://nallforgovernor.blogspot.com/2006/11/election-results-coming-in.html
As a result, there is now a campaign to get rid of write-in votes because they “make it hard for election workers”
http://nallforgovernor.blogspot.com/2006/11/voters-deserve-right-to-write-in.html
http://nallforgovernor.blogspot.com/2006/11/dear-editor.html
December 12th, 2006 at 10:58 am
[...] Looks like an impressive and record-setting write-in vote total for Illinois Constitution Party gubernatorial candidate Randy Stufflebeam. This is real, reported votes rather than the undervotes that were being tabulated earlier. [...]
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