A study by politico.com shows that in their* list of eight states that are likely to be close in this election, Chase Oliver is on the ballot in all of them, Stein is on the ballot in four of them, Kennedy is on in one, and Randall Terry and the other candidates are not in sight.
https://www.politico.com/interactives/2024/where-are-third-party-candidates-ballots/
*These lists wander a bit from writer to writer, e.g., New Hampshire.
Politico is only looking at certified states, not completed states awaiting state certification or states where petitioning is ongoing. For example, Kennedy claims to have completed petitioning in a majority of states, which combined account for 353 of 538 electors:
https://www.kennedy24.com/ballot-access
These include most swing states. It says petitioning is in progress in every other state except Louisiana, where they are not allowed to start yet. They were only allowed to start Wisconsin on July 1, so it’s not surprising it’s not shown as completed yet. Wisconsin is much easier than many states they already completed. The site doesn’t mention that Georgia has a new law which would give them automatic access without petitioning once they are certified in 20 other states.
On television recently Kennedy said he expects to have petitions in every state and DC completed by the end of this month. Some states allow petitions to be circulated into early September, and that does not include the period between petitions being completed and.the certification results from states.
Likewise, Stein and Terry have active petition drives in many states. It’s far too early to say how many they will end up with. Stein could still, to my knowledge, qualify in every state except NY. And in NY, there’s a lawsuit which could conceivably qualify her.
Terry is reportedly doing well with outside fundraising not traditionally available to Constitution Party candidates, but there are no hard numbers on that yet because most of it allegedly happened in June and may or may not have been to the official campaign. His prediction a couple of months ago, iirc was 35 states or so, and there’s still time for him to qualify in that many, including all or most swing states.
The libertarians started with more states, so naturally they had more certified as of whenever Politico compiled its information. However, this ignores the internal disarray which has led to some of their state parties submitting other or no candidates, and the potential of national committee decertification of the ticket and or factions of the party not happy with the nominees suing them off the ballot in various states. It’s just as much too early to tell how much of that may yet happen as it is to predict how many states Kennedy, Stein, and Terry will qualify in.
“A study by politico.com shows that in their* list of eight states that are likely to be close in this election, Chase Oliver is on the ballot in all of them”
Let’s hope he doesn’t lose any. These are the must have states for ballot access.
These are the eight swing states believed most likely to affect the election outcome. Most of these are not states where the Presidential vote total affects party status.
Yes, that’s true. What I should have said is those are the must have states which have an impact on the outcome to get on the ballot .
Politico is wrong to say Chase Oliver is on in Pennsylvania. Although the Libertarian Party meets the Pennsylvania definition of “political party”, another Pennsylvania law says no party’s nominees are automatically on the general election ballot unless that party has registration membership of 15% of the state total. So Libertarians must petition as though they weren’t a qualified party.